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Gold prices and gold prices in March 2010
Influence on gold prices:
The price of the day for gold is determined by supply and demand. Because most of the gold ever mined still exists and is potentially able to come on the market for rightprice, Unlike most others, hoarding and disposal plays a much larger role in influencing the price. At the end of the year 2006, it was felt that all the gold ever mined totaled 158,000 tonnes. Given the enormous amount of gold stored in relation to the annual production, the price of gold is mainly affected by changes in sentiment, rather than changes in annual production. In times of crisis Nationally, people fear that their assets may be seized and that money may become useless. They see gold as an asset solid, always buy food or transportation. Thus, in times of great uncertainty, especially when war is feared, the demand for dollars rises.When Ully gold were convertible into gold, Both were regarded as money. However, most people prefer to carry paper tickets rather than a gold coin little heavier and less divisible. If people feared their bank would fail, a bank run could be the result. This is what happened United States during the Great Depression of the 1930s, leading President Roosevelt to impose a national emergency and ban the possession of gold by citizens of the United States.
An explanation of the increased price of gold today is that it is adjusting for the last 26 years of monetary inflation. The consequences of adjustment in the price of gold will be a decrease in net worth of America and increased food and energy costs.
In 1950, the price of gold was $ 34.72 and the price of gold the gold standard was $ 38.77. In 1971, gold price was allowed to float against the U.S. dollar, it has naturally increased. The reason for the increase was the price of gold was set for the 30 years of monetary inflation created by the Federal Reserve Bank.
Gold is the most popular precious metal in which people invest. It is a refuge agaainst any economic, political, social or based on currencies, such as: investment market decline, the failure of exchange, inflation, war and social unrest. Gold is the difference of an obligation. Gold pays no interest. But gold does not become worthless as a possible link. The values of both rising and fall of trading on the open market. Gold is also not a stock.Gold has no employees, no unions, pays no insurance disease, has not overpaid CEO, no need to borrow money from a bank, and is anti-recession. Gold is there in your safe quietly doing its job. You can see why, for the average stockbroker or financial advisor, gold remains a mystery. Unfortunately for their customers, dealers rarely recommend investing in gold or silver. Despite the remarkable gains of the year over the years, they continue to ignore the gains generated during the current bull market. Throughout the history of gold has often been used as money and, instead of quoting the price of gold, all other products have been measured in gold.
Stocks and Bonds prosper in this economy strong and carry higher risks in the bad times. However, gold does not take account of recession and does well when these and other investments fail.From traaditional 1950 to October 1979, the price of gold has been set for the 30 years of inflation money. As the chart shows, the price of gold has equaled the time of the gold standard several gold prices between 1979 and 1983.In 1979, the price gold remained within 10% of the gold price gold standard for 12 weeks, including 11 gold price has remained within 5% of the gold standard price.In gold 1981, gold prices again stayed within 10% of the gold price gold standard for 31 weeks, 7 of which were 5%, despite a decrease of 482,261.25 ounces of gold belonging to the United States since 1979.In 1982, the price of gold again stayed within 10% of the gold price gold standard for 2 weeks, 1 week to less than 5%, despite a decrease of 96,452.25 ounces of gold belonging to the United States since 1981.Finally in 1983 the price of gold again stayed within 10% of the gold price gold standard for 8 weeks, 6 weeks to 5%, despite a decline of 643,015 ounces gold belonging to the United States since 1982.
Over 3.5 years, the price of gold followed by gold prices gold standard, despite a 30% increase in the currency and lower 1,221,728.5 ounces of gold belonging to the United States. The price of gold has kept gold prices gold standard within 10% to 30% of the time, and less than 5% to 15% of the time. This suggests that the measure used to value gold during this period was the currency divided by ounces of gold belonging to the United States. Thus, the market supported the U.S. dollar into gold, even if the U.S. was not an official gold standard.
Under a gold standard, or a market, people can exchange their paper currency for gold. The gold price gold standard is equal to the money supply in circulation divided by the total supply of gold bullion in a country. Chart below illustrates the relationship between gold prices gold standard (black line) and the price of real gold (red line) since 1950.
For the price of gold to account for the past 26 years of monetary inflation, the price will be equal to $ 3286.06 (dividing money 859.1 billion dollars 261,498,900.32 ounces of gold held by the United States). Since the Federal Reserve Bank of average annual increase of the currency since 1929 is 8% (11.5% since 1971), the gold price $ 3286.06 will continue to rise an average of between 8% and 11.5% per year. If the price increases similar happening today in the 1980s, gold prices could peak as high as $ 7000, and could easily reach $ 5,500.
The consequences the increase in gold prices are scary. A store of value is one of the characteristics of gold. An ounce of gold retains its power Buying over time. For this reason, the prices measured in ounces of gold remain constant over time. Three examples are the ratio of gold / oil ratio gold / CRB and Dow gold ratio. To calculate the ratio of gold / oil (currently 13.76), divide the gold price ($ 1138.90) by the price of oil ($ 82.75). Other ways of saying the same thing would be to say that 1 ounce of gold buys 13.76 barrels of oil or a barrel of oil costing 1/13.76 an ounce of gold. The chart below shows the ratio of oil / gold since 1946.
If bond yields, equities and real estate is not enough to offset the risk and inflation then the demand for gold and other alternative investments such as increasing material materials. An example of this is the period of stagflation that took place during the 1970s and led to an economic bubble forming in precious metals.
While gold is traded on markets worldwide, the market is essentially homogeneous, as the price of gold is always in dollars and gold stock market is "loco London" (gold available to London and meets commercial standards of London). The London PM fix is normally regarded as the reference price principal for the day and the price is most often used in contracts.
Maximum Profits Investing in gold
In times of uncertainty, outselves as we find today, precious metals will act more as a currency of heritage preservation and resisting forces of deflation. There always been single periods in American history in which gold and silver suddenly act if they were the product the rarest on the planet!
Since May 2004 he was conducted by telephone. President begins with the price a'trying. Representatives of the five fixing members' relay the price of their rooms. And they are in contact with other dealers. Market members then declare how much gold they are ready to buy or sell at that price. The dealers, who are in contact with their customers, can change the order or to supplement or cancel at any time, the position declared by the dealers is the net position outstanding between all their customers. (If you are buying two tons and another is selling a ton, then he says a buyer a ton.) If more gold is needed than what is offered, the price will be adjusted upward (And vice versa) until equilibrium is reached. At this point, the price of gold is fixed. On very rare occasions, the price will be fixed when there is imbalance, at the discretion of the President's correction.
The first fixing took place September 12, 1919 among the top five gold bullion traders and refiners of the day. The gold price then was four pounds 18 shillings and nine pence per troy ounce. With government controls and the state of war, the London Gold Fixing was suspended between 1939 and 1954. The gold prices are fixed in U.S. dollars (USD), Pound Sterling (GBP) and European (EUR).
Historically, fixation took place twice a day in the city offices of NM Rothschild & Sons in St Médard Lane, but since May 5, 2004 it takes place by phone. In April 2004 NM Rothschild & Sons announced that it planned to withdraw from the gold trade and the London Gold Fixing. Barclays Bank took place from June 7, 2004, and chairing the meeting, formerly held permanently by Rothschilds, now rotates each year. On January 21, 1980, setting the gold price reached $ 850, a figure that was not surpassed until January 3, 2008. It at that time a new record of $ 865.35 per troy ounce was set in the setting of the morning. However, with inflation, the 1980 high would equal a price of $ 2,398.21 in 2007 dollars. Thus, the 1980 report still holds in real terms.
The Gold Fixing, or the London Gold Fixing or Gold Fix is the procedure by which the price of gold is fixed on the London market by the five members of the London Gold Pool. It is designed to set a price for settling contracts between members of the gold market in London, but, unofficially, the fixing of gold provides a level of recognition that is used as reference for the majority of gold prices throughout the world markets.
Throughout history gold has often been used as money and, instead of quoting the price of gold, all other products have been measured in gold. After the Second World War a gold standard has been created after the Bretton Woods conference in 1946, laying down gold priceat $ 35 per troy ounce.
At this point in the history of our nation, investors face an uncertain future. Liberal spending this year has increased the budget deficits beyond what we said was "out-of-control spending Bush Republican."
During these decades, investment demand for precious metals exceeds supply, prices are pushed up, and the profits can be dramatic. Take for example the last bull market in metals pecious in the 1970s. the price of gold increased by 24 times while Silver multiplied over 30 times. With gains of this magnitude, gold and silver is difficult to resist as the result pure plays.
Gold & survives thrives in Bad Times
In fact, in recent years, the price Gold and silver have more than quadrupled. Impressive indeed! However, these gains are far from the 24-30 times of the past, leaving us with the advice that there are still significant gains are still to come in this bull market.
In contrast, stocks, bonds, real estate and all depend on the economy U.S. and world to be strong and growing. Currently, it is not. The United States is hardly a fight severe recession in year two, the mortgage crisis continues, the government still owns huge chunks of the country's banks, works entire mortgage industry, manages the world's largest insurer, and barely saved from General Motors.
While gold is traded markets worldwide, the market is essentially homogeneous, as the price of gold is always in dollars and gold in stock is "loco London" (Gold available in London and the commercial standards of London). The London PM fix is normally considered the main reference price for the day and the price most often used in the gold price is quoted in USD contracts.The per troy ounce.
A tradition of the London Gold Fixing was that participants could raise a small Union Flag on their desk to pause proceedings. Under the telephone fixing system, participants can register a pause by saying the word "flag", and the President closed the meeting with the phrase "There are no flags, and we set ourselves."
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MAC Permanent Line Series: Bronzed Gold
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